DETERMINANTS OF DIFFERENTIATION FOR SELECTED COUNTY LABOUR MARKETS IN PODLASKIE VOIVODSHIP – THE APPLICATION OF THE SCENARIO METHOD

Authors

  • Anna Kononiuk Bialystok University of Technology, Faculty of Engineering Management
  • Alicja Ewa Gudanowska Bialystok University of Technology, Faculty of Engineering Management

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17770/sie2018vol1.3289

Keywords:

country labour market, Podlaskie Voivodship, scenario method, STEEPVL analysis

Abstract

The main aim of the paper is to present the possibilities of scenario method use for the identification of the factors determining a different situation in selected county labour markets in Podlaskie Voivodship, Poland. The novelty posited by the authors of the paper consisted in the application of the qualitative method based on the intuitive logic school of scenario construction for the county labour markets analysis. The following pairs of poviats were subjected to the case study: Hajnowski and Bielski, Grajewski and Wysokomazowiecki, Suwalski and Sejneński. The selection of the experts of the presented case study followed the rules of researcher triangulation. The expert team consisted of representatives of labour market institutions, local government units and enterprises, which allowed for a multifaceted view on the analysed issues. The scenario method was preceded by the STEEPVL analysis. The main problem issue undertaken during the case study analysis was the identification of factors affecting the development of selected poviats and the assessment of these factors in terms of validity and uncertainty. The STEEPVL analysis and the scenario method were implemented for poviats, which in pairs of poviats occupy lower positions in the ranking of poviats in the region. The research methods applied by the authors of the paper were literature review, a case study, STEEPVL analysis and the scenario method.

Author Biographies

  • Anna Kononiuk, Bialystok University of Technology, Faculty of Engineering Management
    International China and Central-Eastern Europe Institute of Logistics and Service Science
  • Alicja Ewa Gudanowska, Bialystok University of Technology, Faculty of Engineering Management
    International China and Central-Eastern Europe Institute of Logistics and Service Science

References

Glińska, E., Gudanowska, A., Jarocka, M., Kononiuk, A., Rollnik-Sadowska, E., Samul, J., Kozłowska, J., Dębkowska, K. (Eds.) (2017). Przyczyny zróżnicowania powiatowych rynków pracy województwa podlaskiego[Reasons for differentiation of county labour markets in Podlaskie voivodeship]. Białystok: Wojewódzki Urząd Pracy w Białymstoku.

Kononiuk, A., Nazarko, J. (2014). Scenariusze w kształtowaniu i antycypowaniu przyszłość. Warszawa: Wolters Kluwer.

Nazarko, J. (2013a). Regionalny foresight gospodarczy. Metodologia i instrumentarium badawcze. Warszawa: ZPWiM.

O’Keefe. M., Wright, G. (2010). Non-receptive organizational contexts and scenario planning interventions: A demonstration of inertia in the strategic decision-making of a CEO, despite strong pressure for a change. Futures, 42, 26–41.

Gierszewska, G., Romanowska, M. (2009). Analiza strategiczna przedsiębiorstwa. Warszawa: Polskie Wydawnictwo Ekonomiczne.

Perechuda, K., Sobińska, M. (2008). Scenariusze, dialogi i procesy zarządzania wiedzą. Warszawa: Difin.

Lindgren, M., Banhold, H. (2003). Scenario planning, the link between future and strategy. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.

van der Heijden, K., Bradfield, R., Burt, G., Cairns, G., Wright G. (2002). The Sixth Sense: Accelerating Organizational Learning with Scenarios. Chichester: Wiley.

Ringland, G. (1998). Scenario Planning: Managing for the Future. Chichester: Wiley.

van der Heijden, K. (1996). Scenarios – The Art of Strategic Conversation. London: Wiley.

Schwartz, P. (1991). The Art of the Long View. Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World. New York: Doubleday.

Bowman, G., MacKay, R.B., Masrani, S., McKiernan, P., (2013). Storytelling and the scenario process: understanding success and failure, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80 (4), 735–748.

Nazarko, J. (Eds.), Kędzior, Z. (Eds.). (2010). Uwarunkowania nanotechnologii w województwie podlaskim. Wyniki analiz STEEPVL i SWOT [Determinants of the nanotechnology development in the Podlaskie region: results of the SWOT and STEEPVL analyzes]. Bialystok: Oficyna Wydawnicza Politechniki Białostockiej.

Kononiuk, A. (2010). Analiza STEEPVL na przykładzie projektu Foresight technologiczny. ”NT FOR Podlaskie 2020” Regionalna strategia rozwoju nanotechnologii [The application of STEEPVL analysis in the project Technology foresight. ”NT FOR Podlaskie 2020”. Regional strategy of nanotechnology development]. Ekonomia i Zarządzanie, 4, 105–115.

Nazarko, J. (2013b). Regionalny foresight gospodarczy. Metodologia i instrumentarium badawcze. Warszawa: ZPWiM.

Nazarko, J., Kuźmicz, K. A. (2017). Introduction to the STEEPVL Analysis of the New Silk Road Initiative. Procedia Engineering, 182, 497–503.

Downloads

Published

2018-05-25