CONCEPT OF RISK ASSESSMENT FOR ESTONIAN OIL SHALE MINES

Authors

  • Jyri-Rivaldo Pastarus Tallinn University of Technology (EE)
  • Sergei Sabanov Tallinn University of Technology (EE)

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17770/etr2005vol1.2141

Keywords:

collapse, event tree, mining block, mitigation, probability, risk analysis, risk assessment, risk evaluation, risk management, surface subsidence

Abstract

The paper deals with the risk assessment problems in Estonian oil shale mines, where the roomand-pillar mining with blasting is used. This study addresses risks associated with the collapse of mining blocks, including environmental problems. Some of the various factors, which are relevant to Estonian oil shale mines, are determined. For risk estimation the event tree is used. Investigation showed that the likelihood and the consequences of the risk are not acceptable. Risk mitigation process reduces the likelihood. The used concept of risk assessment method is applicable for Estonian oil shale mines. It may be used for different purposes and levels. The results of the risk assessment are of particular interest for practical purposes.

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References

Calow, P. Handbook of environmental risk assessment and management. Oxford, Blackwell Science. 1998.

DETR 2000.Guidelines for environmental risk assessment and management. London, TSO, 2000.

ICOLD 1999. Bulletin on risk assessment: Risk assessment as an aid to dam safety management. (Draft 24.08.99).

Graham, L. P., Bartsch, M. Risk analysis safety assessment for use at Swedish dams. Symposium: Research and development in the field of dams. Crans-Montana, Switzerland, 7-9 September 1995, p.12-19.

Hoeg, K. Performance evaluation, safety assessment and risk analysis for dams. Hydropower & Dams. Issue 6, 1996.

Kaplan, S., Garrick. On the Quantitative definition of risk. Risk analysis 1, 1981.

Pastarus, J.-R. Kamerno-stolbovaya sistema razrabotki mestorozhdenij i ee vliyanie na okruzhayushchuyu sredu. Scientific, Technological and Production Journal: Mine Surveying and Subsurface use. Moscow, 4 (10), 2003, p. 38-42. (in Russian).

Mining-law and legal regulation acts. Ministry of Environment, Ministry of Economy. Part II. Tallinn, 1998 (in Estonian).

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Published

2005-06-18

How to Cite

[1]
J.-R. Pastarus and S. Sabanov, “CONCEPT OF RISK ASSESSMENT FOR ESTONIAN OIL SHALE MINES”, ETR, vol. 1, pp. 237–242, Jun. 2005, doi: 10.17770/etr2005vol1.2141.